If John McCain wins this election, he will be the oldest person to ever become president. He chose Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate. Many have suggested that she is vastly underqualified for the job. They ask, “If, god forbid, something happened to McCain, is Palin ready for the job?” Others counter that we shouldn’t suggest such things. We should expect that McCain will survive his term(s) as president.
Unfortunately, the data belies this response. According to the Actuarial Life Table provided by the Social Security Administration, there is a 39% chance that McCain will die during the eight years of a two-term presidency! [Add up the probabilities from age 72 to age 79.] And that’s assuming a statistically average 72-year-old, someone who is enjoying the easy life in retirement. Aside from McCain’s long history of medical problems, including several bouts with skin cancer, the presidency is a stressful job that requires a lot of energy and tenacity.
What this tells us is that there is a significant chance Sarah Palin would become president within those eight years. Kind of scary. Are you willing to give Sarah Palin a 39% chance to become president?